Notes on DiligenceTM
Best Practices

Logo Inflation

By James Tetherton on January 24, 2017

In virtually every CIM and VDD doc that I’ve read recently (for B2B business, at least), an early page highlights a set of corporate logos of the target company’s key customers. Logos for large, well known businesses are great; logos for “cool” clients seem to be even better.

Read More

Topics: Growth Rates, Customer Segmentation, Competitive Position, Resilience of Pricing Model, Customer Loyalty, Barriers to Entry

Indefensible

By Mark Stein on January 4, 2017

100% of our clients prefer that their acquired companies prove to be strong companies. And our diligence assignments always include measurement of the asset's commercial strength relative to customer needs and expectations, and relative to perceptions of competitors and alternatives.

But interestingly, looking back at 2016, only a handful of clients pressed us hard on this set of three important questions:

1. “What defensible advantage(s) does the company hold (that give it sustainable advantaged competitive positioning)?”

2. “What enables the apparent defense(s) to be something that this asset can uniquely hold, or hold onto, so as new owners you can help protect it?"

3. “When these elements are stacked up, how formidable is the advantage?”

Read More

Topics: Competition, Growth Rates, Best Practices, Value Generation, Resilience of the Business

Available Market Size - Why Large Markets Can Sometimes Feel Very Small (and why Addressable Market is insufficient)

By James Tetherton on November 15, 2016

We’ve written before about the need to clearly define markets in order to inform accurate sizing (read here and here). But even with the clearest possible definition, one other piece of analysis is critical, and is often overlooked – quantifying what we like to call the Available Market Size.

Different from the total or addressable market size, we define the available market size as being the proportion of annual demand that is “competed” in any one year. This is determined by two key factors:

Read More

Topics: Market Sizing, Growth Rates, Market Size, Best Practices, Addressable Market, Available Market Size

Demanding Demand Drivers

By Mark Stein on October 25, 2016

What is more important when looking at a deal: the strength of demand drivers, or the strength of the target company's brand equity?

With rare exception, Demand not Choice (brand equity among suppliers) is more fundamental to a successful acquisition outcome. Both obviously matter, but the balance and the relative performance can be a distinguishing source of a winning investment strategy. Without underlying demand drivers securely in place, few customers are going to waste their time or money considering a product or service – and frustratingly, demand can be fleeting. We have all experienced cases of demand and growth levels dropping post acquisition, and those are never the most fun deals. And you’re not going to win with many investments without strong or growing demand drivers.

Read More

Topics: Purchasing Decisions, Purchasing Drivers, Drivers of Choice, Best Practices, Value Generation, Demand Drivers

Red Tape Diligence: When Regulation = Profit Enhancement

By Jay Howard on October 5, 2016

Regulation. Probably not top of many people’s list of favorite Commercial Diligence issues. After all, compliance is often an annoyance that challenges budgets and margins.

Yet, regs can also equal opportunity: the potential to increase revenue and enhance barriers to entry. With the right plan, a well-positioned target company may profit by earning the status of “valued partner” for helping customers sort through red tape, and enjoy accelerated replacement cycles and greater upgrades, enhanced pricing, and the chance to drive differentiation from the competition.

Read More

Topics: Adoption, Purchasing Process, Segmentation, Switching Costs, Demand Drivers, Regulatory opportunities, pricing opportunities

A Carve Out, Like All Surgery, Requires Special Consideration

By Robert Carpenter-Israel on September 14, 2016
When it comes to carve out opportunities, the business case is always made that the asset will perform better out of the hands of the parent or ‘mothership’ (i.e., too much corporate overhead charge, underinvestment, suppressing potential, etc.). But there are many cases where there is value loss from separation – and that loss needs to be understood and recovered.
Read More

Topics: Drivers of Choice, Investigative Research, Value Proposition, Customer Retention, Best Practices, Voice of Customer

What Brexit Polling Implies about Commercial Due Diligence

By Mark Stein on July 12, 2016

Once again, the pollsters were wrong and surprised and with dramatic effect and impact. The experts (i.e., the pundits) primed the pump, offered hardly an uncertain opinion, and the financial investors took a reasonable position. Why did so many of us wake up thinking: we didn’t see this playing out? It seems that the diligence – including listening to experts and relying on what appears as sound statistical methods of surveying -- was dead wrong. Three national UK elections in a row – three poorly predicted outcomes.

What is going on?  And what does this imply for commercial diligence?

The problem at play is the result an unfortunate combination of two common flaws: confirmation bias and status quo bias.

Read More

Topics: Investigative Research, Customer Research, Segmentation, Best Practices

Complementary Combinations

By James Tetherton on June 15, 2016

Many Private Equity deals involve a “platform and add-on” play – predicated at least in part on “bigger is better”.

Among the various benefits of consolidation, some of the most commonly cited value gen opportunities relate to bundling and cross-selling. Just this year, we’ve worked on deals from building products to processed meats where this has been a key part of the investment thesis.

On the face of it, cross-selling can be an enticing opportunity: increasing salesforce productivity while delivering higher value for key customers feels like an obvious win. However, we’ve seen just as many occasions where the opposite is true – either customers just don’t perceive value in a larger bundle, bundling drives down margins (due to expectations for price concession) or even worse, a combination actually creates confusion and makes each individual element less appealing.

Read More

Topics: Competition, Purchasing Drivers, Value Proposition, Cross-selling, Bundling, Consolidation, Best Practices, Value Generation, Profit Margin

Taking an Expansive View of a VoC Call

By Mark Stein on May 25, 2016

For most private equity firms, the thought of completing an acquisition without first conducting a round of Voice of Customer (VoC) is unthinkable. After all, if a company’s track record is going to be sustainable, it better have a happy customer base (or an extremely sticky service), and it’s almost always a necessity for testing a value generation thesis. Kaiser has a long history of doing work with corporations for whom VoC is truly a way of life. I spoke with John Wilhelm of Kaiser’s Industrials Goods & Services practice about the lessons he’s learned supporting 20 years of this work. Here are a few golden nuggets from John’s rich experience:

Read More

Topics: Market Sizing, Purchasing Decisions, Drivers of Choice, Investigative Research, Customer Research, Segmentation, Market Size, Best Practices, Value Generation, Voice of Customer

"They're Winning Why? With Whom?"

By Mark Stein on May 4, 2016

In order to pressure test that current business performance will maintain a positive trajectory, and for the benefit of informing just about any commercial value generation opportunity, investors need to wrestle down, as precisely as possible, two things:

  1. What exactly is the Raison D’être of the Target company? We like to think of this question as one that explains the economic problem or value-adding issue that a firm is addressing; the hole, small or large, that they are filling; and the firm’s capabilities, unique or otherwise, that allows them to fill the hole. The key issue is to separate the sundry, ancillary factors that fill out the story (and often add to the confusion) and to find a way to truly zero in on the factor that is most important and that clarifies why the firm has been able to exist on a sustained economic basis

  2. Where exactly are they winning? With which customer segments? Which demographic, psychographic, and geographic customers make up the bulk of the success?

Read More

Topics: Drivers of Choice, Customer Retention, Segmentation, Raison D’être, Demand Drivers, Resilience of the Business

About Notes on Diligence

Notes on Diligence™ is an ongoing email series on commercial due diligence best practice for active acquirers. Recognizing that life is busy, each article is short and focused on a single, digestible diligence topic.

This archive is updated regularly so check back in for our latest thinking on due diligence best practices or sign up to receive updates right in your inbox.

SIGN UP

Learn more about Notes on Diligence and Kaiser’s Commercial Due Diligence services.